BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Alabama St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 347 Conference: Southwest Athletic Record: (6-12) Overall: (8-23) Overall Strength =    9.00

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L    -5.41  70 111    1  71 ( 23-  8) Alabama-Birmingham    -14.09 *  -26.91                      
  2 11-10-2022 Away    L    -0.03  58  96    1  37 ( 22-  9) Southern Cal           -8.71 *  -29.29                      
  3 11-13-2022 Away    L    -3.71  62  91    1 172 (  9- 22) Pepperdine            -12.39    -16.61                      
  4 11-15-2022 Away    L    17.36  57  70    1 101 ( 19- 12) San Jose St             8.68    -21.68                      
  5 11-20-2022 Away    L    15.97  54  73    1  66 ( 21- 10) Pittsburgh              7.29 *  -26.29                      
  6 11-23-2022 Away    L    11.23  57  75    1 118 ( 20- 11) Duquesne                2.55    -20.55                      
  7 11-26-2022 Neutral W    19.53  67  58    1 342 (  9- 22) E Illinois             10.85     -1.85                      
  8 11-27-2022 Away    L    14.14  58  72    1 136 ( 18- 13) Ohio                    5.46    -19.46                      
  9 12-07-2022 Away    L    11.37  63  71    1 272 ( 18- 14) North Alabama           2.69    -10.69                      
 10 12-17-2022 Away    L    -9.41  60  96    1 158 ( 14- 17) Georgia Tech          -18.09    -17.91                      
 11 12-19-2022 Away    L    11.64  65  72    1 281 ( 13- 20) Arkansas St             2.97     -9.97                      
 12 12-21-2022 Away    L    15.49  61  83    1  33 ( 23-  7) Memphis                 6.82 *  -28.82                      
 13 12-29-2022 Home    W     8.68  90  78   ZZ  83 (  0-  1) Lane                   -0.00     12.00                      
 14 01-02-2023 Home    W *  12.06  70  61    1 355 (  5- 27) MS Valley St            3.39      5.61                      
 15 01-04-2023 Home    W *  21.66  80  66    1 326 ( 10- 21) Ark Pine Bluff         12.98      1.02                      
 16 01-07-2023 Away    L *  13.83  58  61    1 310 ( 13- 18) Jackson St              5.15     -8.15                      
 17 01-09-2023 Away    L *   3.70  76  92    1 252 ( 18- 12) Alcorn St              -4.98    -11.02                      
 18 01-16-2023 Away    W *  24.73  69  61    1 314 ( 14- 17) Alabama A&M            16.06     -8.06                      
 19 01-21-2023 Home    W *  13.06  56  55 1  1 268 ( 13- 18) Prairie View            4.39     -3.39                      
 20 01-23-2023 Home    L *   4.61  65  71    1 306 ( 11- 20) TX Southern            -4.06     -1.94                      
 21 01-28-2023 Away    L *   9.57  62  64    1 350 ( 12- 19) Bethune-Cookman         0.89     -2.89                      
 22 01-30-2023 Away    L *  -1.07  58  69    1 358 (  7- 22) Florida A&M            -9.75     -1.25                      
 23 02-04-2023 Home    L *   4.91  60  73    1 201 ( 22-  8) Grambling              -3.77     -9.23                      
 24 02-06-2023 Home    W *  20.73  73  66    1 265 ( 15- 16) Southern Univ          12.05     -5.05                      
 25 02-11-2023 Away    W *  17.41  74  71    1 326 ( 10- 21) Ark Pine Bluff          8.73     -5.73                      
 26 02-13-2023 Away    L *   3.81  70  76    1 355 (  5- 27) MS Valley St           -4.86     -1.14                      
 27 02-18-2023 Home    L *  -2.82  54  60    1 358 (  7- 22) Florida A&M           -11.50      5.50                      
 28 02-20-2023 Home    L *  -0.18  65  70    1 350 ( 12- 19) Bethune-Cookman        -8.86      3.86                      
 29 02-25-2023 Home    L *   4.98  50  55    1 314 ( 14- 17) Alabama A&M            -3.70     -1.30                      
 30 03-02-2023 Away    L *   6.48  52  66    1 265 ( 15- 16) Southern Univ          -2.20    -11.80                      
 31 03-04-2023 Away    L *   4.66  49  69    1 201 ( 22-  8) Grambling              -4.02    -15.98                      
      Averages               8.68  63.3 72.6

Best game:   24.73 = 8 point win over Alabama A&M
Worst game:  -9.41 = 36 point loss to Georgia Tech
Team stdev:   8.61